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UK coffee shop market statistics

Gavin McEwan
Monday 14 March 2005 06:04

The UK coffee shop market continues to expand, with saturation still some way off, especially outside London, according to forecasts by industry analysts Allegra Strategies. Branded chain outlets have accounted for the bulk of this growth, and this situation is likely to continue.

Although the independent sector still accounts for nearly twice as many outlets as the branded sector, more branded than independent outlets are expected to open in 2005 and 2006.

Total number of UK coffee shop outlets by type

Independents

%

branded chains
(coffee-focused)

%

branded chains
(food-focused)

%

non-specialist†

%

Total

Dec-97
Dec-98
Aug-99
Dec-00
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Jan-05
Dec-05*
Dec-06*

3,900
4,000
4,100
4,260
4,345
4,453
4,587
4,738
4,855
4,930

82.0%
78.5%
75.9%
68.7%
62.8%
60.3%
58.3%
56.8%
56.2%
55.5%

233
419
557
914
1,226
1,395
1,527
1,707
1,836
1,966

4.9%
8.2%
10.3%
14.7%
17.7%
18.9%
19.4%
20.5%
21.3%
22.1%

138
171
221
468
558
635
663
721
739
754

2.9%
3.4%
4.1%
7.5%
8.1%
8.6%
8.4%
8.6%
8.6%
8.5%

485
503
522
562
788
903
1,092
1,172
1,203
1,240

10.2%
9.9%
9.7%
9.1%
11.4%
12.2%
13.9%
14.1%
13.9%
13.9%

4,756
5,093
5,400
6,204
6,917
7,386
7,869
8,338
8,633
8,890

* - forecast
† - hotels, supermarkets, department stores, bookstores, service stations
Source: Allegra strategies industry interviews and analysis, 2005
Number of branded coffee outlets (London vs. other UK)

London

%

other UK

%

Total

Aug-99
Dec-00
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Jan-05
Dec-05*
Dec-06*

377
626
743
822
861
903
934
962

48.5%
45.3%
41.6%
40.5%
39.3%
37.2%
36.3%
35.4%

401
756
1,041
1,208
1,329
1,525
1,641
1,758

51.5%
54.7%
58.4%
59.5%
60.7%
62.8%
63.7%
64.6%

778
1,382
1,784
2,030
2,190
2,428
2,575
2,720

* - forecast
Source: Allegra strategies industry interviews and analysis, 2005

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